Dividend Payout Ratio

  

Categories: Stocks, Accounting, Metrics

Whatever.com has earnings. Big earnings. A hundred million dollars worth of earnings this year from sales of a whole lotta whatevers.

The board green lights a dividend payment of 40 million bucks. That is, the company will pay 10 million dollars to its common shareholders of record 4 times in this next year. The payout is 40 million because it’s, uh… paid out. And yeah, clever titling was never a Thing on Wall Street. The payout ratio is 40 over 100...or 40 percent.

So why does the payout ratio even matter? Well, companies hate having to cut their dividends…and they love raising them. In the former, stock prices usually crash; in the latter, they usually go up. And companies love it when their stock prices go up. Duh.

So what would happen if Whatever.com stumbled, and its earnings tumbled, and then shareholders mumbled that the earnings payout ratio had, uh… crumbled? That is…what if the earnings of whatever.com went down next year to only 50 million?

Hm. Problem. Because now the payout ratio is 80 percent (40 over 50). Very difficult situation. The company thought it would have tons of earnings to cover its dividend at the 40 million level more or less forever. But clearly it did not.

So now what?

Well…if earnings recover and go back to 100 million on their way to 300 million, then life is grand. No sweat. No heavy decisions to be made. But what if earnings fall further to be only 30 million the following year? Well, then whatever.com has to either borrow money or deplete its cash to cover or pay its dividend...in which case the payout ratio would potentially be over 100%, meaning that if earnings were 30 mil and the dividend was to 40 mil, then the payout ratio would be 40 over 30, or 133%. Ouch. Can’t do that for very long without going bankrupt.

So payout ratios matter...because they give a sense for how certain that dividend is to continue.

If the ratio is low, odds are good the company could certainly afford to raise the dividend, or at least not cut it…for a long time. If the ratio is high, your bottom line may soon be, uh…bottoming out.

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Finance: What is Dividend Coverage/the D...7 Views

00:00

finance a la shmoop what is dividend coverage and what is the dividend payout

00:07

ratio? whatever.com has earnings big earnings a hundred million dollars worth

00:16

of earnings this year from sales of a whole lot of whatever's the board green [People working in a factory]

00:21

lights a dividend payment of 40 million bucks that is the company will pay 10

00:26

million dollars to its common shareholders of record four times in

00:30

this next year the payout is 40 million because well

00:35

you know it's paid out and yeah clever titling know is never a thing on Wall

00:39

Street and the payout ratio is 40 over a hundred that hundred million of earnings [Payout ratio calculation appears]

00:44

or forty percent well why does the payout ratio even matter?

00:48

well companies hate having to cut their dividends and they love raising them if

00:52

the former well stock prices usually crash if the latter well they usually go

00:57

up and companies love it when their stock prices go up duh so what would [Whatever.com share price rises]

01:02

happen if whatever dot-com stumbled in its earnings tumbled and then

01:05

shareholders mumbled that the earnings payout ratio had crumbled that is... okay

01:10

stop with the rhyming bad timing okay now we're stopping and yeah that is what

01:15

if the earnings of whatever.com went down next year to only 50 million

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remember they were a hundred million now they're only 50....hmm

01:21

problem because now the payout ratio is 80 percent 40 over 50 yeah very

01:27

difficult situation the company thought it would have tons of earnings to cover

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its dividend at the forty million dollar level more or less forever

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but clearly it did not so now what well if earnings recover and go back to a [Man discussing whatever.com's earnings]

01:41

hundred million dollars on their way to the 300 million they projected well,

01:45

then life is grand no sweat no heavy decisions to be made

01:48

but what if earnings fall further to be only thirty million the following year

01:53

well then whatever dot-com has to either borrow money or deplete its cash

01:57

reserves just to cover its dividend in which case the payout ratio would then

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be over a hundred percent meaning that the earnings were 30 million and the [Earnings appear]

02:07

dividend was to be forty well then the payout ratio would be 40 over 30

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133% ouch can't do that for very long without going bankrupt so payout ratios [Wheel spins and lands on bankrupt]

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matter because they give a sense for the safety or certainty that that dividend

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will continue at its present rate if the ratio is low well odds are good the

02:27

company could certainly afford to raise the dividend over time or at least not

02:30

cut it yeah for a very long time ideally and if the ratio is high well your [Dividend cut with scissors]

02:35

bottom line may soon be bottoming out back-end load there if i ever saw it...

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